During the recent "Ramstein" meeting on January 9, 2025, Polish Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz announced the preparation of a new military aid package for Ukraine, without specifying its contents.
This signal is undoubtedly significant, as it indicates the readiness of official Warsaw to resume defense support for our country after a prolonged hiatus. However, the current situation in Poland raises questions about whether the package will include, for instance, armored vehicles from the "Warsaw Pact" era, such as T-72 tanks or BMP-1s, not to mention the also relevant MiG-29s for our country.
As reported by the Polish portal Defence24, the head of the Polish Ministry of Defense immediately noted in his statement that the new aid package for Ukraine will be structured in a way that does not compromise Poland's own defense capabilities. This, in turn, suggests that it is better to maintain moderate expectations regarding what the Armed Forces of Ukraine might receive in this context.
Moreover, when the Poles first calculated assistance for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, it included a total of 324 tanks and 400 BMP-1s, not to mention other equipment.
Therefore, as the authors of the Polish publication suggest, one should primarily expect that Warsaw will allocate a certain set of components for the already transferred equipment in the new package of defense support for Ukraine, similar to what other European countries are currently doing quite frequently.
It's also worth considering that Poland might provide our country with a relatively small quantity of "Warsaw Pact" standard equipment of the types that were previously transferred, such as the same T-72s or PT-91 Twardy, or BMP-1s, 2S1 "Gvozdika" self-propelled guns, or BM-21 "Grad" multiple rocket launchers.
At the same time, the situation in the Polish army currently shows that the level of supply of rocket and artillery weapons is significantly better than that of armored vehicles. Therefore, it is logical to assume that if Poland does begin to transfer additional equipment to the Ukrainian army, it will primarily be artillery.
As for the MiG-29s, which are still relevant for Ukraine, the Poles lament that the transfer of such aircraft is only possible in cooperation with other Western countries that must ensure an adequate level of air defense for Poland.
Earlier, Defense Express reported that in October 2024, Croatia promised M-84 tanks for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the situation regarding them is now uncertain.